Today being the day after 12th Night, I took the Christmas
lights and decorations down. And as I was putting everything away in boxes I
wondered whether I would be doing the same thing again at the same time next
year.
It struck me, you see, that there’s a question of probability
involved. A person aged 10 and in average health has a very high probability of
still being here in a year’s time. A person aged 110 and in average health,
however, has a much lower probability. So does that mean there’s a sliding
scale in operation, meaning that as each year concludes, the statistical
probability of making it through another year gets lower? Or is my reasoning
askew? I always did find probability theory difficult.
And of more immediate concern, I’m also finding it difficult
to decide whether or not to send an e-mail to America.
I’m tired and my instinct feels untrustworthy.
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